Iranian media published articles under the headlines "Why did Tehran agree to a ceasefire?", "What happened in 12 days?", and "What should we do next?"
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Iranian media published articles under the headlines "Why did Tehran agree to a ceasefire?", "What happened in 12 days?", and "What should we do next?"
Published articles state that in the first blow of the war, as a result of large-scale internal sabotage and intensive Israeli air strikes, most of Iran's long- and medium-range air defense systems were disabled.
From the 2nd or 3rd day of the war, Israel was moving almost completely freely in Iranian airspace - first in the West, and then gradually towards the Center of Iran. For a while, we saw that UAVs were also moving freely, which is an indication of how bad the situation was.
Air superiority is a key factor in understanding the missile issue.
Iran still has tens of thousands of ballistic missiles and hundreds of launchers. But that's not the point. The problem is that due to Israel's complete air superiority, Iran could not launch a large-scale missile strike. Every time Iran tried to remove launchers from underground bases, Israel immediately detected and destroyed it.
Therefore, Iran was forced to conduct its missile operations with small-scale, "hit-and-run" tactics. Old missiles were being used from bases in the Central and Eastern par of country, and as a result, Iran’s ability to retaliate gradually weakened.
In these circumstances, it was unrealistic to continue the war. From the very first days, there was no real deterrent. Firing 10–20 missiles a day, without a larger military objective, was simply a waste.
From a military perspective, Israel is clearly the winner, and there is no need to embellish this. From a political perspective, Israel has lost:
● The main goals were not achieved;
● The Islamic Republic of Iran is still standing;
● The nuclear program continues;
● Martyred commanders have been replaced.
Israel’s main achievement in this war was to almost completely disable Iran’s air defense network and, as a result, suppress Iran’s large-scale missile fire. This left Iran in a helpless position – because it had no way to respond to the escalation.
What will Israel do?
Israel will use this ceasefire to rearm, prepare for the next war. They will try to gradually move towards their main goal, which is regime change.
It is even possible to apply the “Lebanon model” to Iran — that is, to launch targeted attacks on Iran during the ceasefire period, but not receive a response.
Another Baloch Man Shot Dead in Iran
IRGC Colonel Reportedly Killed in Iran – Unconfirmed Reports
Iran May Burn Mazut at Power Plants This Winter if Energy Imports Fall Short
Iranian Police Kill Another Baloch Man
Qazvin Activist Nemat Afshari Arrested
Ardabil Activist Nasir Razmjou Arrested
CNN: US Preparing for Large-Scale Military Strikes Against Iran
US Warns Gulf Countries of Possible Military Action Against Iran
Trump says ceasefire with Iran was a waste of time
Yemen Says 382 Houthi Fighters Killed in 24 Hours of Strikes
UN Expert Reports More Than 4,000 Arrests in Iran, at Least 29 Executions Linked to January Protests
Ministry: No Azerbaijani-language schools in Iran, Azerbaijanis deprived of right to education in their native language
79 Prisoners Executed in Iran in One Month
Latest Update on Lake Urmia’s Condition
Trump Considers Renewed Strikes on Iran After Midterm Elections – The Atlantic
Tabriz Activist Mehrdad Qadiri Arrested
Trump Says US Will Reach an Outcome on Iran “One Way or the Other” Soon
Arabian Gulf oil exports exceed prewar levels despite Iranian attacks — WSJ
Renewed US-Israeli attacks on Iran remain possible, FT reports
Amnesty International Raises Alarm Over Executions in Iran
Trump Considers Renewed Strikes on Iran After Midterm Elections – The Atlantic
79 Prisoners Executed in Iran in One Month
UN Iran Rapporteur Says War Has Deepened Repression in the Country
Trump says ceasefire with Iran was a waste of time
Ministry: No Azerbaijani-language schools in Iran, Azerbaijanis deprived of right to education in their native language
CNN: US Preparing for Large-Scale Military Strikes Against Iran
Latest Update on Lake Urmia’s Condition
Trump Says US Strike on Iran Remains a Possibility After Midterm Elections
Azerbaijani NGOs Appeal to Pezeshkian
Unemployment Rises in Iran Following War, MP Says
Egypt Approves Military Assistance to Saudi Arabia Amid Houthi Attacks
Yemen Says 382 Houthi Fighters Killed in 24 Hours of Strikes
Armed Incident in Shabestar Leaves One Dead
UN Expert Reports More Than 4,000 Arrests in Iran, at Least 29 Executions Linked to January Protests
US Warns Gulf Countries of Possible Military Action Against Iran
Ardabil Activist Nasir Razmjou Arrested
Qazvin Activist Nemat Afshari Arrested
Six More Prisoners Executed in Iran